2004 US Presidential Election Vote Share Market
Kerry Versus Bush
This graph is also available in flash format with the datapoints annotated, or in a simple jpg format.
Note: This graph shows only prices on or after March 1, 2004, the day before "Super Tuesday." On March 1, 2004, the IEM Democratic Convention Market prices predicted that Kerry would be the Democratic nominee with probability above 90%. To see prices leading up to 3/1/04, use the link below.